TY - BOOK
AU - Aven, Terje
TI - Misconceptions of risk
ET - 1. publ.
PB - Wiley
SN - 0470683880
SN - 9780470683880
KW - Risiko
KW - Risikomanagement
KW - Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit
KW - Statistische Methode
KW - Kritik
KW - Risk assessment Statistical methods
KW - Risk management Statistical methods
KW - Statistik
KW - Soziologie
KW - Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit
PY - c 2010
N2 - Formerly CIP Uk
N2 - Risk is equal to the expected valueRisk is a probability or probability distribution -- Risk equals a probability distribution quantile (value-at-risk) -- Risk equals uncertainty -- Risk is equal to an event -- Risk equals expected disutility -- Risk is restricted to the case of objective probabilities -- Risk is the same as risk perception -- Risk relates to negative consequences only -- Risk is determined by the historical data -- Risk assessments produce an objective risk picture -- There are large inherent uncertainties in risk analyses -- Model uncertainty should be quantified -- It is meaningful and useful to distinguish between stochastic and epistemic uncertainties -- Bayesian analysis is based on the use of probability models and Bayesian updating -- Sensitivity analysis is a type of uncertainty analysis -- The main objective of risk management is risk reduction -- Decision-making under uncertainty should be based on science (analysis) -- The precautionary principle and risk management cannot be meaningfully integrated -- Conclusions.
CY - Chichester
UR - http://slubdd.de/katalog?TN_libero_mab2
ER -
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