• Media type: E-Book
  • Title: Exploration vs exploitation, impulse balance equilibrium, and a specification test for the El Farol bar problem
  • Contributor: Kirman, Alan P. [Author]; Laisney, François [Author]; Pezanis-Christou, Paul [Author]
  • Published: Mannheim: ZEW, Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung GmbH, 2018
  • Published in: Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung: ZEW discussion papers ; 2018038
  • Extent: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 40 Seiten); Illustrationen
  • Language: English
  • Identifier:
  • Keywords: congestion games ; exploration vs exploitation ; quantal response equilibrium ; impulse balance equilibrium ; specification test ; experimental economics ; Graue Literatur
  • Origination:
  • Footnote:
  • Description: The paper reports on market-entry experiments that manipulate both payoff structures and payoff levels to assess two stationary models of behaviour: Exploration vs Exploitation (EvE, which is equivalent to Quantal Response Equilibrium) and Impulse Balance Equilibrium (IBE). These models explain the data equally well in terms of goodness-of-fit whenever the observed probability of entry is less than the symmetric Nash equilibrium prediction; otherwise IBE marginally outperforms EvE. When assuming agents playing symmetric strategies, and estimating the models with session data, IBE yields more theory-consistent estimates than EvE, no matter the payoff structure or level. However, the opposite occurs when the symmetry assumption is relaxed. The conduct of a specification test rejects the validity of the restrictions on entry probabilities imposed by EvE for agents with symmetric strategies, in 50 to 75% of sessions and it always rejects it in the case of IBE, which indicates that the symmetric variant of these models has little empirical support.
  • Access State: Open Access