• Media type: E-Article
  • Title: Ship Manoeuvring in Restricted Areas: An Attempt to Quantify Dangerous Situations Using a Probabilistic-Fuzzy Method
  • Contributor: Gucma, Lucjan; Pietrzykowski, Zbigniew
  • imprint: Cambridge University Press (CUP), 2006
  • Published in: Journal of Navigation
  • Language: English
  • DOI: 10.1017/s037346330600364x
  • ISSN: 0373-4633; 1469-7785
  • Keywords: Ocean Engineering ; Oceanography
  • Origination:
  • Footnote:
  • Description: <jats:p>This paper presents a practical application of the probabilistic-fuzzy method for assessment of the safety of a ship manoeuvring in waterways. The method, based on probabilistic risk analysis and elements of fuzzy logic, takes into account situations of threatened navigational safety and situations when a navigator intuitively thinks that the safety of manoeuvring ship is threatened. The probability of grounding a ship manoeuvring in a waterway bend is determined by means of simulation method. Then, with the use of experts' knowledge and tools of fuzzy logic the probability of a dangerous situation is determined. Two different approaches are applied for the determination of that probability. The results are compared.</jats:p>