Erschienen in:The SC Johnson College of Business Applied Economics and Policy Working Paper Series ; No. AEP WP No. 2021-09
Umfang:
1 Online-Ressource (50 p)
Sprache:
Englisch
DOI:
10.2139/ssrn.3933276
Identifikator:
Entstehung:
Anmerkungen:
Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments March 2021 erstellt
Beschreibung:
We study the self-selection of migrants at crossing locations along the Mexican-U.S.border distinguished by stark differences in physiography and border enforcement intensities. Wemodel the triggers of hazardous crossings, and reveal self-selection patterns that are alternative specific: individuals with low economic prospects at origin communities are favorably selected athigh-risk, high-reward crossing locations. Using comprehensive migrant journey level trajectoriesfrom the Mexican Migration Project (1980 - 2005), and identification based on enforcement reforms, community-level trade and weather shocks, as well as migrant-specific characteristics, weestimate a McFadden choice model of border crossing. Results confirm the negative-selection ofmigrants in high-risk, high-likelihood of success border crossing locations, in addition to nuancedvariations when economic shocks are idiosyncratic rather than permanent. The implications ofthese observations on the effectiveness of border walls and trade walls in mediating cross-bordermigration flows are also discussed