• Media type: E-Book
  • Title: The calm before the storm? : anticipating the arrival of general purpose technologies
  • Contributor: Schiess, Daniel [VerfasserIn]; Wehrli, Roger [VerfasserIn]
  • imprint: Zürich: CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research at ETH Zurich, [2008]
  • Published in: Center of Economic Research: Working papers of the Center of Economic Research at ETH Zurich ; 81
  • Extent: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 25 Seiten); Illustrationen
  • Language: English
  • Identifier:
  • Keywords: Innovationsdiffusion ; Wirkungsanalyse ; Mehrsektoren-Modell ; Schumpeterismus ; Theorie ; Graue Literatur
  • Origination:
  • Footnote:
  • Description: This paper presents a Schumpeterian quality-ladder model incorporating the impact of new General Purpose Technologies (GPTs). GPTs are breakthrough technologies with a wide range of applications, opening up new innovational complementarities. In contrast to most existing models which focus on the events after the arrival of a new GPT, the model developed in this paper focuses on the events before the arrival if R&D firms know the point of time and the technological impact of this drastic innovation. In this framework we can show, that the economy goes through three main phases: First, the economy is in its old steady state. Second, there are transitional dynamics and finally, the economy is in a new steady state with higher growth rates. The transitional dynamics are characterized by oscillating cycles. Shortly before the arrival of a new GPT, there is an increase in R&D activities and growth going even beyond the old steady state levels and immediately before the arrival of the new GPT, there is a large slump in R&D activities using the old GPT.
  • Access State: Open Access