Published:
Cambridge, Mass: National Bureau of Economic Research, April 2018
Published in:NBER working paper series ; no. w24560
Extent:
1 Online-Ressource
Language:
English
DOI:
10.3386/w24560
Identifier:
Reproduction note:
Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
Origination:
Footnote:
Mode of access: World Wide Web
System requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files
Description:
We examine the channels through which commodity price super-cycles affect the economy. Exploiting regional variation in exposure to commodity price shocks and administrative firm-level data from Brazil we disentangle two transmission channels. Higher commodity prices increase domestic demand (wealth channel), disproportionately benefiting nonexporters, and induce wage increases (cost channel) especially among unskilled workers, hurting unskilled-intensive industries. We introduce a dynamic model with heterogeneous firms and workers to quantify these mechanisms and evaluate welfare. The cost channel explains two-thirds of intersectoral labor reallocation, while the wealth channel explains two-thirds of the labor reallocation between exporters and nonexporters