• Media type: E-Book
  • Title: Productivity and U.S. Macroeconomic Performance : Interpreting the Past and Predicting the Future with a Two-Sector Real Business Cycle Model
  • Contributor: Ireland, Peter N. [Author]; Schuh, Scott [Other]
  • Corporation: National Bureau of Economic Research
  • Published: Cambridge, Mass: National Bureau of Economic Research, October 2007
  • Published in: NBER working paper series ; no. w13532
  • Extent: 1 Online-Ressource
  • Language: English
  • DOI: 10.3386/w13532
  • Identifier:
  • Reproduction note: Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
  • Origination:
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  • Description: A two-sector real business cycle model, estimated with postwar U.S. data, identifies shocks to the levels and growth rates of total factor productivity in distinct consumption- and investment-goods-producing technologies. This model attributes most of the productivity slowdown of the 1970s to the consumption-goods sector; it suggests that a slowdown in the investment-goods sector occurred later and was much less persistent. Against this broader backdrop, the model interprets the more recent episode of robust investment and investment-specific technological change during the 1990s largely as a catch-up in levels that is unlikely to persist or be repeated anytime soon
  • Access State: Open Access