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National Research Council USA Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate

Attribution of extreme weather events in the context of climate change - [Prepublication version]

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  • Media type: E-Book
  • Title: Attribution of extreme weather events in the context of climate change
  • Corporation: National Research Council, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate
  • imprint: Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2016
  • Issue: Prepublication version
  • Extent: 1 Online-Ressource (xviii, 144 Seiten); IIllustrationen, Karten
  • Language: English
  • DOI: 10.17226/21852
  • ISBN: 9780309380942; 0309380944
  • Identifier:
  • RVK notation: RB 10429 : Analytische Klimatologie (Klimaelemente: Aufbau der Atmosphäre, Strahlung, Temperatur, Luftfeuchtigkeit, Niederschläge, Luftdruck, Luftbewegung, Luft- elektrizität u.ä.)
  • Keywords: Meteorologie > Klimaänderung > Luftströmung > Großwetterlage > Dürre > Extremwert
    Regionale Klimatologie > Wetterlage > Trockenheit > Extremwert > Erwärmung > Niederschlagsmenge
    Anthropogene Klimaänderung > Hitzebelastung
  • Origination:
  • Footnote: Volltext: HTML
    "This prepublication version of Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change has been provided to the public to facilitate timely access to the report. Although the substance of the report is final, editorial changes may be made throughout the text and citations will be checked prior to publication. The final report will be available through the National Academies Press in spring 2016.". - Includes bibliographical references (Pages 113-133)
  • Description: "Description: As climate has warmed over recent years, a new pattern of more frequent and more intense weather events has unfolded across the globe. Climate models simulate such changes in extreme events, and some of the reasons for the changes are well understood. Warming increases the likelihood of extremely hot days and nights, favors increased atmospheric moisture that may result in more frequent heavy rainfall and snowfall, and leads to evaporation that can exacerbate droughts. Even with evidence of these broad trends, scientists cautioned in the past that individual weather events couldn't be attributed to climate change. Now, with advances in understanding the climate science behind extreme events and the science of extreme event attribution, such blanket statements may not be accurate. The relatively young science of extreme event attribution seeks to tease out the influence of human-cause climate change from other factors, such as natural sources of variability like El Niño, as contributors to individual extreme events. Event attribution can answer questions about how much climate change influenced the probability or intensity of a specific type of weather event. As event attribution capabilities improve, they could help inform choices about assessing and managing risk, and in guiding climate adaptation strategies. This report examines the current state of science of extreme weather attribution, and identifies ways to move the science forward to improve attribution capabilities."
  • Access State: Open Access