• Media type: E-Book
  • Title: Tests of conditional predictive ability : a comment
  • Contributor: McCracken, Michael W. [VerfasserIn]
  • imprint: St. Louis, MO: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Research Division, July 2019
  • Published in: Working paper ; 2019,18
  • Extent: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 7 Seiten)
  • Language: English
  • Keywords: prediction ; out-of-sample ; inference
  • Origination:
  • Footnote:
  • Description: We investigate a test of equal predictive ability delineated in Giacomini and White (2006; Econometrica). In contrast to a claim made in the paper, we show that their test statistic need not be asymptotically Normal when a fixed window of observations is used to estimate model parameters. An example is provided in which, instead, the test statistic diverges with probability one under the null. Simulations reinforce our analytical results
  • Access State: Open Access