Paiva, Luis Henrique
[Author];
Sousa, Marconi Fernandes de
[Author];
Nunes, Hugo Miguel Pedro
[Author]
A focalização do Programa Bolsa Família (PBF) no período 2012-2018, a partir dos dados da Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios Contínua (PNAD Contínua)
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E-Book
Title:
A focalização do Programa Bolsa Família (PBF) no período 2012-2018, a partir dos dados da Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios Contínua (PNAD Contínua)
Description:
This study draws on the recent release of complete information about earnings from the National Longitudinal Household Survey (Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios Contínua - PNAD Contínua) for 2012-2018, to evaluate the targeting of the Bolsa Família Programme. The results confirm the expectations generated by previous studies: Bolsa Família improved its targeting over the period, which suggests that this progress resulted from continuous refinement of the programme's management, and not from any single measure adopted during any specific year. The analysis of the programme's concentration coefficient reveals that it has managed to enhance its potential to fight income inequality. Despite these indicators, it is estimated that nearly a fifth of the ten per cent poorest people in the country do not benefit from the programme. Bolsa Família's efficient targeting is driven by the poorest regions in the country (Northeast and North); these same regions also present the fewest exclusion errors. This suggests that the trade-off between inclusion and exclusion errors does not apply to subnational levels in Brazil. In a comparative analysis with other targeted programmes in Latin America, Bolsa Família proved to be one of the "benign" cases: it is comparatively well-targeted and has good coverage (low exclusion rates). The study also evaluates recent proposals to further refine the programme's targeting.