Footnote:
Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments July 20, 2020 erstellt
Description:
The present pitch paper intends to pitch the research idea, its methodology, and possible outcomes by following Faff (2015) pitch my research template. The research topic is "COVID-19 Led Economic Recession Prediction" which aims to forecast the in and out of sample recession indicator values for the available dataset from 1989 – 2020 using ARMA and TGARCH to generate out of sample data to be used in the Probit model to predict the chances of recession. This is a preliminary synthesis of ideas and framework for the research. The paper also provides a list of pitch papers published since 2015 that summarizes the importance and application frequency of pitch template and a systematic review of alternate recession prediction models