Footnote:
Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments March 2015 erstellt
Description:
Standard models - based exclusively on macro-financial variables - have made little progress in explaining the behavior of exchange rates. In this paper, we introduce a neglected set of “soft power” factors capturing a country's demographic, institutional, political and social underpinnings to uncover the “missing” determinants of exchange rate volatility over time and across countries. Based on a balanced panel dataset comprising 115 countries during the period 1996–2011, the empirical results are generally robust across different estimation methodologies and show a high degree of persistence in exchange rate volatility, especially in emerging market economies. After controlling for standard macroeconomic factors, we find that the “soft power” variables - such as an index of voice and accountability, life expectancy, educational attainment, the z-score of banks, and the share of agriculture relative to services - have a statistically significant influence on the level of exchange rate volatility across countries