Footnote:
Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments August 29, 2013 erstellt
Description:
The rise of independent expenditures by outside groups in congressional elections following the Supreme Court's decision in Citizens United leads to the questions about whether and to what extent outside spending actually affects the outcome of congressional elections. After an overview of outside group activity during the 2010 and 2012 elections, this paper develops several statistical models to address the question of whether outside spending has an impact on elections in the House of Representatives. We find that outside spending has a statistically significant impact, although in different ways for the 2010 and 2012 elections, but in each case the effect is seen still at the margins