Published in:Netspar Discussion Paper ; No. 05/2013-013
Extent:
1 Online-Ressource (42 p)
Language:
English
DOI:
10.2139/ssrn.2262367
Identifier:
Origination:
Footnote:
Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments May 6, 2013 erstellt
Description:
Using a combination of Dutch survey and administrative data, we show that survival expectations do in fact predict actual mortality in models that control for income and education level. This predictive power disappears, however, when controls are introduced for self-rated health status and smoking behavior. Concerning the differences between survival expectations and actual mortality, our results show that, on average, women underestimate their remaining life duration more than men and that the age gradient is steeper in subjective than in actual mortality. The association of current health status with subjective survival is less strong than with objective survival and, moreover, individuals underestimate the risks from smoking, alcohol consumption, and obesity