• Media type: E-Article
  • Title: The profitability of technical analysis during the COVID-19 market meltdown
  • Contributor: Lento, Camillo [VerfasserIn]; Gradojevic, Nikola [VerfasserIn]
  • imprint: 2022
  • Published in: Journal of risk and financial management ; 15(2022), 5 vom: Mai, Artikel-ID 192, Seite 1-19
  • Language: English
  • DOI: 10.3390/jrfm15050192
  • ISSN: 1911-8074
  • Identifier:
  • Keywords: COVID-19 ; market efficiency ; technical analysis ; technical trading ; Aufsatz in Zeitschrift
  • Origination:
  • Footnote:
  • Description: This article explores the profitability of technical trading rules around the COVID-19 pandemic market meltdown for the S&P 500 index, Bitcoin, Comex gold spot, crude oil WTI, and the VIX. Trading rule profits are estimated from January to May 2020, including three sub-periods, on a high-frequency data set. The results reveal that the trading rules can beat the buy-and-hold trading strategy. However, only the Bollinger Bands and trading range break-out rules become profitable after transaction costs during the market crash. Moreover, it is found that composite trading signals effectively improve the profitability of technical analysis around the COVID-19 market crash.
  • Access State: Open Access
  • Rights information: Attribution (CC BY)