Footnote:
In: The Journal of Energy and Development, Vol. 47, Nos. 1 and 2, 2022
Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments December 15, 2022 erstellt
Description:
This study examines the effect of oil revenue on unemployment in Nigeria over the period of 1970 and 2018. We examine the direct, indirect and distributional effects of oil revenue on unemployment using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Quantile Regression (QR). The direct effect results from ARDL estimation show that oil revenue reduces unemployment only in the long-run. The indirect effect results reveal that oil revenue appears to worsen unemployment. Therefore, whether oil revenue would reduce unemployment or not depends on oil price. The results are robust when we use oil rents as a proxy for oil revenue. The QR results depict that the effect of oil revenue on unemployment varies over different quantiles, worsening effect at the lower quantiles and reducing effect at the upper quantiles. Given our results, it is expedient for the government to design a proper plan to manage oil revenue for growth and employment creation