• Media type: E-Book
  • Title: Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States : New Data for Business Cycle Analyses and Long-Run Dynamics
  • Contributor: Lehmann, Robert [VerfasserIn]; Wikman, Ida [VerfasserIn]
  • imprint: [S.l.]: SSRN, 2023
  • Published in: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 10280
  • Extent: 1 Online-Ressource (29 p)
  • Language: English
  • DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4368209
  • Identifier:
  • Keywords: regional economic activity ; mixed-frequency Vector Autoregression ; regional business cycles ; concordance ; Bayesian methods
  • Origination:
  • Footnote: Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments 2023 erstellt
  • Description: To date, only annual information on economic activity is published for the 16 German states. In this paper, we calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to 2021, thereby improving the regional database for Germany. The new data set will regularly be updated when quarterly economic growth for Germany becomes available. We use the new data for an in-depth business cycle analysis and to estimate long-run growth dynamics. The business cycle analysis reveals large heterogeneities in the duration and amplitudes of state-specific fluctuations as well as in the degrees of cyclical concordance. Long-run trends are found to vary tremendously, with positive developments in economically strong regions and flat or even negative trends for economically much weaker states
  • Access State: Open Access