• Media type: E-Article
  • Title: Wagner's hypothesis in Europe : a causality analysis with disaggregated data
  • Contributor: Trofimov, Ivan D. [VerfasserIn]
  • imprint: 2023
  • Published in: European journal of government and economics ; 12(2023), 1, Seite 5-38
  • Language: English
  • DOI: 10.17979/ejge.2023.12.1.9146
  • ISSN: 2254-7088
  • Identifier:
  • Keywords: Wagner's hypothesis ; panel cointegration ; panel causality ; Europe ; Aufsatz in Zeitschrift
  • Origination:
  • Footnote:
  • Description: This paper examines Wagner hypothesis of the growth of public expenditure alongside the growth of economic activity for a panel of 28 European economies during the 1995-2018 period. The hypothesis is verified using Pesaran (2007) panel unit root and Westerlund (2007) cointegration tests that account for cross-sectional dependence in the series, and three panel causality tests (Toda-Yamamoto, Dumitrescu-Hurlin and Juodis-Karavias-Sarafidis) that are suitable for mixed order of series' integration, heterogeneous balanced panels and cases of limited evidence of cointegration. The empirical results suggested that expenditure and output variables were non-stationary in levels and stationary in the first differences; the cointegration among the variables was present; the causality was principally uni-directional (from output to public expenditure), in line with Wagner's hypothesis, or bi-directional; the causality from public expenditure to output along Keynesian lines was limited.
  • Access State: Open Access
  • Rights information: Attribution - Non Commercial (CC BY-NC)