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Media type:
E-Book
Title:
A Quantitative Analysis of Climate Change Effects on International Tourists’ Destination Choice in the Short- and Long-Run
:
A Case Study of Western Australia
Footnote:
Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments April 11, 2023 erstellt
Description:
This paper examines climate change effect on international tourists’ choices of destination, using Western Australia as a case study. The quantitative analysis augments a standard tourism demand model by including the destination’s climate variables. Furthermore, interaction climate variables, for examples the combinations of maximum temperature and solar exposure or minimum temperature and rainfalls, are included in the model to investigate how extreme weather conditions affect tourists’ decisions about their destination choices. The study adopts autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) technique to allow a dynamic specification of short- and long-run estimations. Using disaggregated tourist arrival data from 18 countries of origin during 2005Q1 and 2020Q1, the study reveals that the effects can be different and varied according to the types of tourists and their climate preferences. From a practical perspective, tourism operators should target their markets based on weather conditions and should not presume that all tourists are predilection for sunshine beach weather