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Media type:
E-Book
Title:
Research and innovation perspective of the mid-and long-term potential for advanced biofuels in Europe
:
D3.1 Comparison of fuel options for transport up to 2030 and 2050
Description:
Within the context of this research study for DG RTD, there is a clear distinction between the various tasks. While the focus of Task 1 is on the potential of research and innovation for the generation of secure, lower-cost and low ILUC biomass feedstock for energy in the 2030 and 2050 horizon, Task 2 uses these results to assess the potential contribution of advanced biofuels for achieving various EU targets up to 2050. In these first two tasks the attention for alternative future fuel options, like for example electrification, is relatively limited. Nevertheless, the uptake of (for example) electrified vehicles will influence and determine the potential for advanced biofuels in the future fuel mix. Thus Task 3 aims to compare advanced biofuels with other alternative options. More specifically, the main objective of this deliverable is to "deliver an assessment of the most optimistic and pessimistic estimates for fossil fuel requirements, determining the margin for drop-in advanced biofuels as well as other alternative transport options".1 In other words, this deliverable estimates the future fuel demand in the transport sector and assesses the potential for advanced biofuels in the future fuel mix, alongside other 'competing' options such as fossil fuels, electrification, LNG and hydrogen. This assessment is set in a 2030 and 2050 time horizon. In order to realise this main objective, three specific research components are addressed: 1. Fuel comparison - Comparison of the fuel options for transport, based on long term scenarios; 2. Macroeconomic impacts - Assessment of the macroeconomic impacts of the various options to the European Union (EU) and national EU economies; 3. Overall strategy - Illustration of the overall strategic (long term) implications of the various options and proposal for an overall strategy In order to capture the developments in the 2030 and 2050 time horizon, specific scenarios were developed which reflect the pathways in which biomass feedstock, various technologies and the biofuel demand may develop. The details of these scenarios are presented in Annex B.