• Media type: E-Book; Report; Text
  • Title: Optimal stopping via pathwise dual empirical maximisation
  • Contributor: Belomestny, Denis [Author]; Hildebrand, Roland [Author]; Schoenmakers, John G. M. [Author]
  • imprint: Weierstrass Institute for Applied Analysis and Stochastics publication server, 2014
  • Language: English
  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.20347/WIAS.PREPRINT.2043
  • Keywords: article ; 60G40 ; 60G17 ; optimal stopping problem -- dual martingale -- convex optimization -- variance reduction
  • Origination:
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  • Description: The optimal stopping problem arising in the pricing of American options can be tackled by the so called dual martingale approach. In this approach, a dual problem is formulated over the space of martingales. A feasible solution of the dual problem yields an upper bound for the solution of the original primal problem. In practice, the optimization is performed over a finite-dimensional subspace of martingales. A sample of paths of the underlying stochastic process is produced by a Monte-Carlo simulation, and the expectation is replaced by the empirical mean. As a rule the resulting optimization problem, which can be written as a linear program, yields a martingale such that the variance of the obtained estimator can be large. In order to decrease this variance, a penalizing term can be added to the objective function of the path-wise optimization problem. In this paper, we provide a rigorous analysis of the optimization problems obtained by adding different penalty functions. In particular, a convergence analysis implies that it is better to minimize the empirical maximum instead of the empirical mean. Numerical simulations confirm the variance reduction effect of the new approach.
  • Access State: Open Access