• Media type: E-Book; Report
  • Title: Novas evidências empíricas sobre a dinâmica trimestral do consumo agregado das famílias brasileiras no período 1995-2009
  • Contributor: Schettini, Bernardo Patta [Author]; dos Santos, Cláudio Hamilton Matos [Author]; Amitrano, Cláudio Roberto [Author]; Squeff, Gabriel Coelho [Author]; Ribeiro, Márcio Bruno [Author]; Gouvêa, Raphael Rocha [Author]; Orair, Rodrigo Octávio [Author]; Martinez, Thiago Sevilhano [Author]
  • imprint: Brasília: Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA), 2011
  • Language: Portuguese
  • Keywords: Verfügbares Einkommen ; E27 ; C82 ; C52 ; C22 ; E21 ; Konsum ; Brasilien
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  • Description: This paper presents new econometric specifications for the quarterly behavior of the aggregate consumption of Brazilian households in the 1995-2009 period. It is argued, in particular, that the use of quarterly measures of both private disposable income (in chained 1995 prices) and the credit extended to households (as a % of GDP) as explanatory variables leads to well adjusted models within the sample with good out of sample performance - for the level of precision of our quarterly estimates four quarters out of sample is close to 99%. Moreover, the models presented in this paper point to values of the (approximated) private income elasticity close to 0.4 and credit and interest (semi) elasticities of household consumption close to 2% and -2%, respectively.
  • Access State: Open Access