• Media type: E-Book; Report
  • Title: Estimating the Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks at the Zero Lower Bound
  • Contributor: Caggiano, Giovanni [Author]; Castelnuovo, Efrem [Author]; Pellegrino, Giovanni [Author]
  • imprint: Munich: Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), 2017
  • Language: English
  • Keywords: C32 ; nonlinear structural vector auto regressions ; interacted VAR ; E32 ; uncertainty shocks ; generalized impulse response functions ; zero lower bound
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  • Description: We employ a parsimonious nonlinear Interacted-VAR to examine whether the real effects of uncertainty shocks are greater when the economy is at the ZeroLower Bound. We find the contractionary effects of uncertainty shocks to be statistically larger when the ZLB is binding, with differences that are economically important. Our results are shown not to be driven by the contemporaneous occurrence of the Great Recession and high .nancial stress, and to be robust to different ways of modeling unconventional monetary policy. These findings lend support to recent theoretical contributions on the interaction between uncertainty shocks and the stance of monetary policy.
  • Access State: Open Access