• Media type: E-Book; Report
  • Title: Government debt and banking fragility: The spreading of strategic uncertainty
  • Contributor: Cooper, Russell W. [Author]; Nikolov, Kalin [Author]
  • imprint: Frankfurt a. M.: European Central Bank (ECB), 2018
  • Language: English
  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.2866/888615
  • ISBN: 978-92-899-3300-1
  • Keywords: Sovereign-banking loop ; G28 ; Sovereign default ; G01 ; E44
  • Origination:
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  • Description: This paper studies the interaction of government debt and financial markets. This interaction, termed a "diabolic loop", is driven by government choice to bail out banks and the resulting incentives for banks to hold government debt rather than self-insure through equity buffers. We highlight the role of bank equity issuance in determining whether the "diabolic loop" is a Nash Equilibrium of the interaction between banks and the government. When equity is issued, no diabolic loop exists. In equilibrium, banks' rational expectations of a bailout ensure that no equity is issued and the sovereign-bank loop is operative.
  • Access State: Open Access