• Media type: E-Book; Report
  • Title: Simple Rules Versus Optimal Policy: What Fits?
  • Contributor: Bache, Ida Wolden [Author]; Brubakk, Leif [Author]; Maih, Junior [Author]
  • imprint: Oslo: Norges Bank, 2010
  • Language: English
  • ISBN: 978-82-7553-546-5
  • Keywords: DSGE models ; optimal monetary policy ; forecasting ; E52 ; C53
  • Origination:
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  • Description: We estimate a small open-economy DSGE model for Norway with two specifications of monetary policy: a simple instrument rule and optimal policy based on an intertemporal loss function. The empirical fit of the model with optimal policy is as good as the model with a simple rule. This result is robust to allowing for misspecification following the DSGE-VAR approach proposed by Del Negro and Schorfheide (2004). The interest rate forecasts from the DSGE-VARs are close to Norges Bank's official forecasts since 2005. One interpretation is that the DSGE-VAR approximates the judgment imposed by the policymakers in the forecasting process.
  • Access State: Open Access