• Media type: Report; E-Book
  • Title: Contests and negotiation between hubristic players
  • Contributor: Long, Iain W. [Author]
  • Published: Cardiff: Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, 2019
  • Language: English
  • Keywords: D91 ; D74 ; Optimism bias ; Overconfidence bias ; Contests ; Negotiation ; C71
  • Origination:
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  • Description: Why do contests exist in settings where negotiation provides a costless alternative? I assess a new explanation: parties may be overconfident about their ability or optimistic about their chances of winning. For both parties in a contest, this hubris: (i) reduces the incentive to exit the contest; (ii) reduces effort; and(iii) increases expected payoffs. Whilst hubris leads to the contest being preferred to costless negotiation, the welfare loss is nonmonotonic in either behavioural bias.
  • Access State: Open Access