• Media type: Report; E-Book
  • Title: Media-expressed tone, Option Characteristics, and Stock Return Predictability
  • Contributor: Chen, Cathy Yi-Hsuan [Author]; Fengler, Matthias R. [Author]; Härdle, Wolfgang Karl [Author]; Liu, Yanchu [Author]
  • Published: Berlin: Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series", 2019
  • Language: English
  • Keywords: stock return predictability ; topic model ; G12 ; G41 ; option markets ; G14 ; media tone ; equity markets
  • Origination:
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  • Description: We distill tone from a huge assortment of NASDAQ articles to examine the predictive power of media-expressed tone in single-stock option markets and equity markets. We find that (1) option markets are impacted by media tone; (2) option variables predict stock returns along with tone; (3) option variables orthogonalized to public information and tone are more effective predictors of stock returns; (4) overnight tone appears to be more informative than trading- time tone, possibly due to a different thematic coverage of the trading versus the overnight archive; (5) tone disagreement commands a strong positive risk premium above and beyond market volatility.
  • Access State: Open Access