• Media type: E-Book; Report
  • Title: How to Limit the Spillover from an Inflation Surge to Inflation Expectations?
  • Contributor: Dräger, Lena [Author]; Lamla, Michael J. [Author]; Pfajfar, Damjan [Author]
  • imprint: Munich: Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), 2023
  • Language: English
  • Keywords: survey experiment ; persistent or transitory inflation shock ; E52 ; short-run and long-run inflation expectations ; E31 ; inflation surge ; D84 ; E58 ; randomized control trial
  • Origination:
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  • Description: We study the effects of forward-looking communication in an environment of rising inflation rates on German consumers' inflation expectations using a randomized control trial. We show that information about rising inflation increases short- and long-term inflation expectations. This initial increase in expectations can be mitigated using forward-looking information about inflation. Among these information treatments, professional forecasters' projections seem to reduce inflation expectations by more than policymaker's characterization of inflation as a temporary phenomenon.
  • Access State: Open Access