• Media type: Report; E-Book
  • Title: Has China's Growth Gone from Miracle to Malady?
  • Contributor: Prasad, Eswar [Author]
  • imprint: Bonn: Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), 2023
  • Language: English
  • Keywords: demographics ; growth rebalancing ; productivity growth ; F4 ; F3 ; F2 ; financial risks ; sectoral reallocation
  • Origination:
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  • Description: China's remarkable run of persistently high growth in recent decades is all the more stunning in light of the country's low levels of financial and institutional development, state-dominated economy, and nondemocratic government. Notwithstanding the inefficient and risky growth model, the government has maneuvered the economy around various stresses without any major financial or economic crash. With a shrinking labor force and declining efficiency of investment, raising productivity growth is key to maintaining reasonable GDP growth. Unbalanced reforms, a schizophrenic approach to the role of the market versus the state, and strains in financial and property markets could result in significant volatility but a financial or economic collapse is not in the cards.
  • Access State: Open Access