• Media type: E-Book; Report
  • Title: Paying off populism: How regional policies affect voting behavior
  • Contributor: Gold, Robert [Author]; Lehr, Jakob [Author]
  • Published: Kiel: Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), 2024
  • Language: English
  • Keywords: European Integration ; R58 ; D72 ; Regional Policies ; H54 ; Populism ; R11 ; Regression Discontinuity Design
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  • Description: This paper shows that regional policies can decrease populist support. We focus on the "development objective" (Objective-1) of the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF), meant to support lagging-behind regions. For causal inference, we exploit three sources of quasi-exogenous variation in a Regression-Discontinuity-Design (RDD), a Difference-in-Differences framework (DiD), and with matching techniques. Using NUTS3-level panel data on the outcomes of elections to the EU parliament, observed over the period 1999-2019, we consistently find that Objective-1 transfers reduces the vote share of right-fringe parties by about 2.5 pp. Left-fringe party support is not affected. Complementary analyses of individual-level survey data from the Eurobarometer show that the European Regional Policy increases trust in democratic institutions and decreases discontent with the EU.
  • Access State: Open Access