• Media type: E-Article
  • Title: MACROECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC AND EDUCATIONAL CHANGES IN POLAND AFTER 1990
  • Contributor: Kolasa, Aleksandra
  • imprint: Cambridge University Press (CUP), 2021
  • Published in: Macroeconomic Dynamics
  • Language: English
  • DOI: 10.1017/s1365100519000944
  • ISSN: 1365-1005; 1469-8056
  • Keywords: Economics and Econometrics
  • Origination:
  • Footnote:
  • Description: <jats:p>Soon after the start of transition to a market economy in the early 1990s, Poland has experienced both a dramatic decline in the fertility rate and an increase in the share of students among young high-school graduates. These two processes significantly changed the age structure of population and average income characteristics of households. Using a general equilibrium model with heterogeneous households and uninsured income shocks, I try to assess the impact of these changes on the Polish economy as a whole and inequalities within it. I find that, in the long term, the positive effects of the educational change on output per capita will more than offset the negative impact of lower fertility. I also show that the educational change increases income and consumption inequalities, while the fertility change decreases inequality in assets.</jats:p>