Description:
<jats:p>In terms of the visible effects of climate change, in Serbia as well as in
other countries is present an increase of average annual temperature, reduced
amount of precipitation, the occurrence of floods, droughts, forest fires and
ice breakage. The aim of the research is to determine the pattern of the
trends in the extent of damages from natural hazards in the forests in
Serbia, their share in the total forest damage and the impact of temperature
and precipitation on the extent of damage from natural hazards in the forests
during the researched period. A modelling method was used as a basic
scientific method, with an application of trend, regression and correlation
analysis, methods of reasoning (abstraction and concretization, analysis and
synthesis, induction and deduction, etc.), along with other methods and
techniques necessary for obtaining all needed elements (processes, absolute
growth, growth rate, etc.). Regardless of the lack of significance in all
models, the research results indicate that the damages from natural hazards
in the forests in Serbia are expanding, with increased share in total forest
damages, which might be related to significantly lower temperatures and
higher rainfall (snow-breaks, snow uprooting, ice-breaks, ice uprooting,
floods, etc.).</jats:p>