• Medientyp: E-Book
  • Titel: Modeling Life-Cycle Earnings Risk with Positive and Negative Shocks
  • Beteiligte: Sanchez Garcia, Manuel [Verfasser:in]; Wellschmied, Felix [Sonstige Person, Familie und Körperschaft]
  • Erschienen: [S.l.]: SSRN, [2017]
  • Erschienen in: IZA Discussion Paper ; No. 10925
  • Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (45 p)
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3029795
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  • Beschreibung: We study workers' idiosyncratic earnings risk over the life-cycle using a German administrative data set. Positive and negative earnings shocks both contain a highly persistent component. The variance and average size of positive persistent shocks is decreasing over the life-cycle. The (absolute) size of negative persistent shocks is increasing. The probability to experience either of these shocks is U-shaped in age; during prime-age it is around 35 percent. Negative transitory shocks are relatively larger and more dispersed than positive transitory shocks. Their size and variance are increasing over the life-cycle. Large persistent positive shocks early in life generate large wealth holdings for the top one percent of workers in an incomplete markets model. Moreover, age-varying risk implies a linear increase in consumption inequality late in working life
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