Anmerkungen:
In: Journal of Financial Markets, Forthcoming
Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments July 26, 2017 erstellt
Beschreibung:
We find that the acceleration and deceleration patterns of historical prices are predictive of future expected returns in momentum investing in the U.S. equity market from 1962 to 2014. Winners with accelerated historical price increases deliver higher future expected returns and losers with accelerated historical price decreases perform more poorly in the future. Hence, the profit from buying past accelerated winners and shorting past accelerated losers is significantly higher than the momentum profit by 51.47%. Such profit cannot be subsumed by certain characteristics that have been considered to explain momentum. Possible explanations for our results include extrapolative bias and overreaction