• Medientyp: E-Book
  • Titel: Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization : A Reappraisal with Focus on Asia
  • Beteiligte: Duval, Romain [Verfasser:in]; Cheng, Kevin C. [Sonstige Person, Familie und Körperschaft]; Hwa Oh, Kum [Sonstige Person, Familie und Körperschaft]; Saraf, Richa [Sonstige Person, Familie und Körperschaft]; Seneviratne, Dulani [Sonstige Person, Familie und Körperschaft]
  • Erschienen: [S.l.]: SSRN, [2014]
  • Erschienen in: IMF Working Paper ; No. 14/52
  • Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (47 p)
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2426561
  • Identifikator:
  • Entstehung:
  • Anmerkungen: Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments April 2014 erstellt
  • Beschreibung: This paper reexamines the relationship between trade integration and business cycle synchronization (BCS) using new value-added trade data for 63 advanced and emerging economies during 1995–2012. In a panel framework, we identify a strong positive impact of trade intensity on BCS - conditional on various controls, global common shocks and country-pair heterogeneity - that is absent when gross trade data are used. That effect is bigger in crisis times, pointing to trade as an important crisis propagation mechanism. Bilateral intra-industry trade and trade specialization correlation also appear to increase co-movement, indicating that not only the intensity but also the type of trade matters. Finally, we show that dependence on Chinese final demand in value-added terms amplifies the international spillovers and synchronizing impact of growth shocks in China
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