Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
[Verfasser:in]
;
Ciferri, Davide
[Sonstige Person, Familie und Körperschaft];
Girardi, Alessandro
[Sonstige Person, Familie und Körperschaft]
Erschienen in:CESifo Working Paper Series ; No. 3015
Umfang:
1 Online-Ressource (34 p)
Sprache:
Englisch
DOI:
10.2139/ssrn.1592791
Identifikator:
Entstehung:
Anmerkungen:
Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments April 2010 erstellt
Beschreibung:
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important role than spot markets in the case of contracts with shorter maturities, but the relative contribution of the two types of market turns out to be highly unstable, especially for the most deferred contracts. The implications of these results for hedging and forecasting crude oil spot prices are also discussed