Imbs, Jean
[Verfasser:in]
;
Kalemli-Özcan, Şebnem
[Sonstige Person, Familie und Körperschaft];
Guindos, Luis De
[Sonstige Person, Familie und Körperschaft]
Erschienen:
[Erscheinungsort nicht ermittelbar]: European Central Bank (ECB), 2019
Erschienen in:ECB Forum on Central Banking 2019: 20 Years of European Economic and Monetary Union ; (Jan. 2019)
Umfang:
1 Online-Ressource (703 MB, 01:02:25:01)
Sprache:
Englisch
DOI:
10.5446/48025
Identifikator:
Entstehung:
Anmerkungen:
Audiovisuelles Material
Beschreibung:
Twenty Years of Convergence by Jean Imbs and Laurent Pauwels: Real convergence in the Economic and Monetary Union is manifest over the past 20 years: the growth rates in GDP and consumption have converged significantly, reaching by some measures higher levels of similarity than US States. To explain convergence in GDP, we introduce a measure of bilateral export intensity, based on input-output linkages at sector level. The measure is distinct from directly observed trade and is available for 50 sectors, including services. It takes exceptionally high values in EMU member countries, much higher than the US or China. Pairs of sectors with high export intensity are significantly more correlated, which explains aggregate convergence in GDP. Convergence in consumption, in turn, is by some measure more complete in the EMU than between US States. We show this can be ascribed to financial integration in the monetary union