Anmerkungen:
In: Proceedings of the ICE - Transport, 166 (6), 362-374
Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments October 7, 2014 erstellt
Beschreibung:
Fatalities due to railway accidents occur rarely and some railways identify risks from potential accident precursors. By lowering precursor frequency, the probability of more serious incidents and accidents may be reduced, following the idea of a reverse pyramid between precursors, top events, injuries and deaths. This paper analyses precursors, top events, injuries and deaths and their relationships both to each other and to incidents and accidents for a set of 17 major global metro railways. The 27 precursors analysed, for the period 2002-2008, fall into six categories: human performance, technical failures, passenger actions, fires, malicious action and management action. Statistical analysis indicates a positive correlation between injuries and top events as well as between injuries and precursors. Using these results, this paper proposes a number of measures to improve metro railway safety in each precursor category based on the experience of best practice observed among the metros