• Medientyp: Bericht; E-Book
  • Titel: Beyond dimension two: A test for higher-order tail risk
  • Beteiligte: Bormann, Carsten [Verfasser:in]; Schienle, Melanie [Verfasser:in]; Schaumburg, Julia [Verfasser:in]
  • Erschienen: Berlin: Humboldt University of Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649 - Economic Risk, 2014
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • Schlagwörter: C58 ; decomposition of tail dependence ; subsample bootstrap ; C46 ; multivariate extreme values ; tail correlation ; stable tail dependence function ; C01
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  • Beschreibung: In practice, multivariate dependencies between extreme risks are often only assessed in a pairwise way. We propose a test to detect when tail dependence is truly high{dimensional and bivariate simpli cations would produce misleading results. This occurs when a signi cant portion of the multivariate dependence structure in the tails is of higher dimension than two. Our test statistic is based on a decomposition of the stable tail dependence function, which is standard in extreme value theory for describing multivariate tail dependence. The asymptotic properties of the test are provided and a bootstrap based nite sample version of the test is suggested. A simulation study documents the good performance of the test for standard sample sizes. In an application to international government bonds, we detect a high tail{risk and low return situation during the last decade which can essentially be attributed to increased higher-order tail risk. We also illustrate the empirical consequences from ignoring higher-dimensional tail risk.
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