• Medientyp: E-Book; Bericht
  • Titel: Limited commitment, endogenous credibility and the challenges of price-level targeting
  • Beteiligte: Cateau, Gino [Verfasser:in]; Shukayev, Malik [Verfasser:in]
  • Erschienen: Ottawa: Bank of Canada, 2018
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.34989/swp-2018-61
  • Schlagwörter: E31 ; Credibility ; E52 ; Inflation targets ; Monetary policy framework
  • Entstehung:
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  • Beschreibung: This paper studies the cost of limited commitment when a central bank has the discretion to adjust policy whenever the costs of honoring its past commitments become high. Specifically, we consider a central bank that seeks to implement optimal policy in a New Keynesian model by committing to a price-level target path. However, the central bank retains the flexibility to reset the target path if the cost of adhering to it exceeds a social tolerance threshold. We find that endowing the central bank with such discretion undermines the credibility of the price-level target and weakens its effectiveness to stabilize the economy through expectations. The endogenous nature of credibility also brings novel results relative to models with exogenous timing of target resets. A much higher degree of credibility is needed to realize the stabilization benefits of commitment. Multiple equilibria also emerge, including a low credibility equilibrium with frequent target resets and high volatility.
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