• Medientyp: Bericht; E-Book
  • Titel: The business cycle of European countries Bayesian clustering of country - individual IP growth series
  • Beteiligte: Kaufmann, Sylvia [Verfasser:in]
  • Erschienen: Vienna: Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB), 2003
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • Schlagwörter: C33 ; Markov switching ; panel data ; E32 ; Bayesian clustering ; C15 ; Markov chain Monte Carlo ; Business cycle
  • Entstehung:
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  • Beschreibung: In the present paper, time series on industrial production growth of individual countries are used to investigate the following questions: (i) Is there a common growth cycle for the euro area countries? (ii) Did the synchronization change over time? (iii) Can we discriminate between a "European" and an "overseas" cycle? (iv) Which countries follow the "overseas" rather than the "European" cycle? To obtain the inference, I use an autoregressive panel data framework whereby the groups of co-moving countries are estimated adaptively along with the model parameters using Bayesian simulation methods.
  • Zugangsstatus: Freier Zugang