• Medientyp: E-Book; Bericht
  • Titel: Narratives on the causes of inflation in Germany: First results of a pilot study
  • Beteiligte: Demgensky, Lisa [VerfasserIn]; Fritsche, Ulrich [VerfasserIn]
  • Erschienen: Hamburg: Universität Hamburg, Fakultät für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften, WiSo-Forschungslabor, 2023
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • Schlagwörter: E31 ; E32 ; expectation formation ; Germany ; E71 ; inflation ; Narratives
  • Entstehung:
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  • Beschreibung: Since 2021, the inflation rate in Germany and the euro area has increased significantly. At the same time, there are increasing signs of ``de-anchoring'' of inflation expectations in Germany. This paper - building on the approach of Andre et al. (2022) - examines in a pilot study survey-based narratives for the rising inflation together with socio-economic factors. A mixed-methods approach is used to classify the narratives, with clustering based on statistical criteria. A regression analysis is used to examine the relationship between socio-economic factors and narratives on the one hand, and the relationship between narratives/clusters of narratives and a de-anchoring of inflation expectations on the other hand. We can associate certain narratives with socio-economic characteristics and political partisanship. Narrative complexity is a function of education and literacy. Narrative clusters correspond to certain milieus and dimensions of socio-economic stratification. Narratives of supply shortages and price gouging are positively correlated with anchored expectations; demand and government plus other narratives are negatively correlated with anchored expectations.
  • Zugangsstatus: Freier Zugang