• Medientyp: E-Artikel
  • Titel: Carbon emissions and economic impacts of an EU embargo on Russian fossil fuels
  • Beteiligte: Liu, L. [Verfasser:in]; Jiang, H. [Verfasser:in]; Liang, Q. [Verfasser:in]; Creutzig, F. [Verfasser:in]; Liao, H. [Verfasser:in]; Yao, Y. [Verfasser:in]; Qian, X. [Verfasser:in]; Ren, Z. [Verfasser:in]; Qing, J. [Verfasser:in]; Cai, Q. [Verfasser:in]; Edenhofer, O. [Verfasser:in]; Wei, Y. [Verfasser:in]
  • Erschienen: Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research), 2023-03
  • Erschienen in: Nature Climate Change
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01606-7
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  • Beschreibung: The Russia–Ukraine conflict lays bare the dependence of the European Union (EU) on fossil fuel imports from Russia. Here, we use a global computable general equilibrium model, C3IAM/GEEPA, to estimate CO2 emission and gross domestic product (GDP) impact of embargoing fossil fuels from Russia. We find that embargoes induce more than 10% reduction of CO2 emissions in the EU and slight increases of emissions in Russia, while both regions experience GDP losses (around 2% for the EU and about 5% for Russia, ignoring the relative impact of other sanctions). Reacting to increasing energy prices with demand-side response inside the EU would increase CO2 emission savings, while turning GDP losses into gains. Implementing a partial embargo with tariffs largely compensates for lost government revenue.