• Medientyp: E-Book; Elektronische Hochschulschrift; Dissertation
  • Titel: Simultaneous Confidence Statements about the Diffusion Coefficient of an Ito-Process with Application to Spot Volatility Estimation
  • Beteiligte: Sabel, Till [VerfasserIn]
  • Erschienen: Georg-August-Universität Göttingen: eDiss, 2014-07-28
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.53846/goediss-4610
  • Schlagwörter: volatility estimation ; multiscale testing ; nonparametric statistics ; Mathematics (PPN61756535X)
  • Entstehung:
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  • Beschreibung: In this PhD thesis, we address the problem of giving simultaneous confidence statements about local features of the diffusion of an Itô process. To this end, we construct a multiscale test based on weighted quadratic variation and prove that the test statistic can be strongly approximated by a sequence of Gaussian martingales which are distribution-free. Further, we give optimality results and present different visualization methods. In the second part of the thesis, we extend the approach to data corrupted by additive noise to cover applications from high-frequency finance. Additionally, we show which difficulties arise from real data and apply our method exemplarily to prices of Euro-Bund-Futures (FGBL). As an outlook for future work, we present ideas of generalizing the method to inference on the local covariance and point out some interesting applications from finance.
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